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  1. This is an excellent survey of the topic of pedestrian accidents in the Chicago area with a focus on Lake Forest. It cites an in-depth study by a Northwestern Prof. Savage that helps address the imbalance of data on pedestrian vs. vehicle deaths on the tracks.

    One factor not included is the land area covered by the community and with it the number of lines through that area. Lake Forest is the only North Shore community extending from the lakefront and the UP/Metra North Line west across CP and Milwaukee Road (Metra Northwest) lines to the Tollway (I 294). Thus there are two Lake Forest stations on two Metra lines.

    How does Lake Forest compare to a combined Highland Park and Deerfield, to a Glencoe and Northbrook or a Winnetka and Glenview (the last also an Amtrak stop)? These would be comparable areas, but with different demographics–Lake Forest being relatively low in residential density and relatively high in worker-nonresident commuter use.

    • Art: Prof. Savage saw your comment and did some calculations for combined communities that would have both the UP-North and Milwaukee North lines running through them. In general they make Lake Forest look even worse as most of these other communities have much lower rates.

      Here is the data. It shows (1) the combined municipalities used, (2) the 2004-12 combined pedestrian fatality count, (3) the combined 2010 census population, and (4) the implied annual risk per 10,000 population:

      Lake Forest: 8 — 19,375 — 0.46
      Highland Park – Highwood – Deerfield – Bannockburn: 6 –54,976 –0.12
      Winnetka – Kenilworth – Wilmette – Northfield – Glenview: 9 — 91,899 — 0.11
      Glencoe – Northbrook: 3 — 41,893 — 0.08

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